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 6/10 Very Good --- www.realclearpolitics.com http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/index.xml
Wednesday, May 14, 2008 --- 70 days ago http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/05/mississippi_special_why_childe
 Some of the things I have said over the past few weeks about the Mississippi 1st district special election I now think were wrong.
Initially, I assumed (without a lot of thought, actually) that Greg Davis would win narrowly. I imagined that if he lost, the major reason would be the mood of the electorate. I readily accepted the view that the district is a Republican bastion. I bought the line that the GOP primary bitterly divided the Republican Party, handing Democrat Travis Childers an unexpected victory. Most of these views were ill-informed.
My reassessment of this race comes after extensive discussions with a number of strategists and Mississippi experts, as well as after examining some additional survey data. Let's look at some of the things journalists and Washington, D.C., observers believe account for Davis' defeat. ... |
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