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FeedRank: 1/10  1/10  Low  ---  www.truthonthemarket.com
Academic commentary on law, business, economics and more ...

 

 
Tuesday, May 06, 2008 --- 79 days ago
This just in:   Microsoft withdrew its most recent bid for Yahoo and announced it will not be making a hostile move for Yahoo.  This comes on the heels of the announcement a mere day ago that Yahoo and Microsoft were sitting down to try to hammer out a friendly deal.  Fickle, that Microsoft is! Allow me to answer questions folks might ask in the aftermath: 1.  Question:  What does this retreat by Microsoft say about the economy and the M&A market?  Answer:  Nothing.  Nada.  Microsoft wanted to buy Yahoo for cheap.  Yahoo wanted no part of that.  Over the past 20 months, while Yahoo’s stock has been weak, it has traded on-and-off in the $30-ish range.  Microsoft’s final $33 per share bid was nothing to write home about.  If Microsoft was making a credible bid and they thought Yahoo was a good long-term strategic acquisition, we would have seen bid prices moving up further than they have over the past three months. 2.  Question:  What is going to happen on Monday to Yahoo’s stock price?  Answer:  Yahoo’s stock price is going to get pummeled by arbs exiting their short-term investment.  The drop in Yahoo’s stock price will mean nothing of substance.  I promise.  So, while the media is going to get all excited on Monday about the drop in price, and the 5 p.m. news on Monday is going to talk about Yahoo being the day’s biggest loser, ignore the chatter.  Or buy Yahoo stock while it is cheap. 3.  Question:  Is t ...




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